Kasich, Portman opening up larger leads in OH

Posted on September 19, 2010

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The big races in Ohio seem to be favoring the Republican candidates more and more. The evidence now comes from a set of Quinnipiac polls, the first of which puts John Kasich ahead of incumbent Ted Strickland by 17 points, 54-37.

Kasich, a former congressman and Fox News host, holds even larger leads over Gov. Strickland when voters are asked which candidate would be better rebuilding the state’s ailing economy and handling the state budget, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds. This first general election measure of likely voters in Ohio for this election cycle can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.

Kasich leads among men 60 – 31 percent and gets 47 percent of women voters to Strickland’s 45 percent. Kasich leads among Republicans 91 – 4 percent and 55 – 32 percent among independent voters. Strickland leads 84 – 8 percent among Democrats.

It’s even worse for Democrat Lee Fisher going up against the GOP’s Rob Portman. A second Quinnipiac poll shows Portman with a 20-point lead over Fisher in vying for retiring George Voinovich’s seat, with a startling reason why:

By a 58 – 37 percent margin, likely Ohio voters want a U.S. Senator who opposes President Obama’s policies, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds. And by 49 – 31 percent, voters want Republicans rather than Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.

These are terrible numbers for Democrats in a hugely important swing state, a state where likely voters disapprove of Obamacare by a whopping 65-30 margin. It’s tough to just write Ohio off as a redneck teabagger state since it went for Barack Obama in 2008. Seems most Ohioans have a lot of buyer’s remorse right about now, and are trying to make up for it with their potential votes in November.

We’ve still got a month and a half to go, and Strickland and Fisher have started running their negative ads attacking Kasich and Portman as not being worthy of Ohioans trust. They will likely have some impact, but deficits like this are hard to overcome, especially when the underlying conditions of the field are against you as vast swaths of American voters seem poised to register their displeasure with the arrogant and tone-deaf governance they’ve seen from Washington over the last two years at a level that seems nearly unprecedented.

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Posted in: News, Politics