Official 2010 midterm predictions

Posted on November 1, 2010


With the massively important 2010 Election Day tomorrow, I figured I might as well give my prognostications with how things will shape up:

  • The Republicans pick up 57 seats in the House, easily winning a majority.
  • They’ll pick up 9 seats in the Senate, falling just short of winning control but still making it 50-50, with VP Biden as the final tie-breaking vote
  • Republicans will have a heart-breaking loss in either West Virginia, Colorado, or Washington Senate races.
  • John Kasich wins against Ted Strickland in the Ohio governor’s race – by 4 points.
  • Rob Portman wins against Lee Fisher in Ohio’s Senate race – by 9 points
  • Sharron Angle will defeat Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada. The margin doesn’t really matter.
  • Joe Miller will win in Alaska. Lisa Merzewelski’s (sic) write-in challenge will prove to be all smoke and mirrors.
  • Christine O’Donnell will lose in Delaware – but only by 5 points.
  • California will reelect Barabara Boxer and Jerry Brown. Though the margins will be be within 5 points for each, proving that California remains insane, but only slightly so.
  • Marco Rubio wins easily in Florida. Charlie Crist retreats to the nearest tanning bed.

In any event, we won’t have to wait very long to see how accurate I am. I’d love to be proven wrong on the Senate or be inadvertantly lowballing the House gains.

Expect a flurry of blogging activity tomorrow after the polls close. I don’t know if I’ll be able to make it to the call for Alaska’s Senate race – 5 am or so – but we’ll see. I remain cautiously optimistic – but prepare yourself for whatever might happen, as after all the up-and-down polls, the only one that counts is tomorrow. See you all then, folks!

Posted in: News, Politics